Jermaine Dye

On the blogs today there has been a lot of talk about the possiblity of the Reds acquring OF Jermaine Dye from the White Sox for Homer Bailey and another player (or two).

I’m really not in favor of the deal for several reasons.

I feel that Homer has not reached the end with the Reds.  He is still only 22 with a tremendous upside.  You are essentially giving up a future star for several years for one year of Jermaine Dye at $11MIL.

Dye, while a strong hitter in the past, will be 35 next year with diminishing defensive speed and skills.  Where would you place him? In left to supplant Dickerson?  Looking at his projections from Bill James on Fangraphs it is easy to see how little this deal seems to make.

The only way I see this working is if the Reds are seeing this as a stop-gap measure so that they can move Joey Votto to left and hope that Yonder Alonso is able to play first base in 2010.  I wouldn’t suspect this would be the case even in the best of circumstances.  You would lose a potential pitching star and another prospect for short term gain during a time in which the Reds are still a year or so away from actually contending.

Why not stay younger and cheaper for now while Homer develops, used as a fifth starter, or even placed into the bullpen.

According to Rosenthal, even the Mets, Rays, and Phillies think the price is absurd.


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