Trying to Find Answers
Posted on May 4, 2008 by xjjeep90
Just thought we would throw this on the wall and hope this starts the discussion.
There has to be a reason. Right?
| 2007 | 2008 | |
| Record | 14 - 18 | 12 - 20 |
| AVG | 0.246 | 0.248 |
| OBP | 0.319 | 0.322 |
| SLUG | 0.393 | 0.406 |
| OPS | 0.712 | 0.728 |
| Runs | 109 | 132 |
| Run Diff | 7 | -32 |
Filed under: Reds Baseball
The answer is simple…
…statistics lie.
There are a couple of things that those statistics don’t measure. The first is “meatheaded” baserunning gaffes and the other is relativity of hits to runners on base. Thirty nine runs is an extreme swing, but it can be accounted for when runners are ending innings early by thinking that they’re back in Pony league. Further, hits are nice but they’re not meaningful unless they’re backed up with _other_ hits in the same inning.
The fact of the matter is that statistics lie because they deal in aggregates absent context. That’s a long-winded way of saying that while a .300 hitter is more likely to drive in runs that a .250 hitter, the correlation isn’t as certain as we’d all like to believe.